Supercross 2017 Predictions -- Update After Week 15
I don't have time to do a full write-up, but you deserve the chart.
Finally the numbers have Eli Tomac predicted to finish first overall. There is a change to the methodology, though -- something I've been meaning to get to for quite a while, so perhaps its serendipitous that the tight 450 SX season made me put it in place -- where the projection evaluates riders week-by-week and gives more predictive value to recent weeks. This puts less emphasis on Tomac's slow start to the season and more on his recent great wins. With that taken into account, Tomac's 2017 season is enough to convince the numbers that the dominant 2015 and 2016 seasons by Ryan Dungey are in the rearview mirror.
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The "This Week" predictions, though brief, will be up by Friday night at the latest.