MOTOCROSS ANALYSIS AND INSIGHT
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High Point "This-Week" Predictions Review
6/22/2016

How did the "This-Week" predictions do for MX outdoors in Week 4 at High Point?  Decent for the 450's, with 2 exact hits and 5 more missed by one:



The bigger misses were Marvin Musquin, who podium'd despite being predicted 8th, and Josh Grant, who left the race because of a foot injury.  Matt Bisceglia was 16th overall, off by 5 from his prediction, but in the race he finished, he was 10th, which was more in line with his prediction at #11.  Similar thing for Benny Bloss, who DNS'd the first race, but finished 16th in the second, which was close to his prediction of 17th (compared to 19th, which was his overall rank).

Three significant Location Adjustments for the 450's:



Roczen was expected to earn 4 more points at High Point than his prediction before the track adjustment, and he earned 7 more than predicted (earned 50 vs prediction of 43).  Pourcel was expected to earn 5 more points than his prediction before the track adjustment, and he earned 8 more than predicted (earned 23 vs prediction of 15).  Peick was expected to earn 14 more points than his prediction before the track adjustment, and he earned 9 more than predicted (earned 21 vs prediction of 12).  So, all three adjustments pointed in the right direction, which is a good sign for the location adjustment.

250 Predictions
Finally the predictions for the lites class seem to be coming around.  Bike problems for Jeremy and Alex Martin threw things off a bit.  Overall, there were 4 exact picks and 5 more that were off by 1:



The 250 class had one notable Track Adjustment, for Kyle Cunningham -- he was expected to finish 6 points better at High Point than his regular prediction.  Instead, he finished right in line with his prediction before the Location Adjustment (earned 9 vs 8 predicted).  In the right direction, I guess.


Posted by: SagehenMacGyver47   :::   As always – Feedback welcomed


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