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Motocross analysis and insight                             What?   |   Why?   |   Who?   |   What Else?   |   FAQ



The MX Book Preview: The MX Book eBook: The MX Book

Graph descriptions: AVG Race Finish % by Year -- Average %-ile in race, broken down by classes each year;   mAP by Year -- Average yearly Modified Advancement Points (where Zero is average), broken down by classes each year;   Overall % by Year -- performance by year compared to average riders at that age.
--see further details/viewing instructions below the graph -- also see What?/Why?/Who? above for more about the data used--     Enjoy!     Feedback welcomed


Graph Descriptions/Tableau viewing
Selecting a name
The graphs/tables display info for one rider at a time.  All riders can be found in "Full Name" at the top right, and you can narrow the list by entering text in the filter's dropdown menu.  Similar names are sometimes distinguished by the Rider's home state in ().
AVG Race Finish % by Year
This graph shows what percentile, on average, the rider finished his races in each class in each year (keep in mind this is only A, B, and Open classes).  It does not account for the quality of the competition (i.e., Loretta Lynn's Area/Regionals/Finals).  Lower numbers are better, just like with tradtional rankings.
AVG mAP by Year
This graph shows the average Modified Advancement Points earned per race in each class of each year (again only A, B, and Open classes).
Overall % by Year
This larger graph shows how well the rider performed each year relative to ALL pro and amateur riders, and compares to the average rider at that age (gray line).
Yearly Stats
    AVG Rank Overall: average finishing position (i.e., 3.0 = 3rd);
    AVG Race %-ile: average finishing %-ile;
    AVG mAP: Average Modified Advancement Points per race;
    TOTAL mAP: Total mAP per class per year at each qualifier level;
    AVG Time vs Heat (sec): number of seconds below (negative) or above (positive) average compared to the race/heat;
    AVG Z-Score: Average number of standard deviations better than average (positive number) or worse than average (negative number);
    AVG Z-Score Rank: Average rank in race based on Z-Score;
    AVG Z-Score Race %-ile: Average %-ile rank in race based on Z-Score. 
Lap Times Z-Score by Year
Compares the rider's lap time to the average in the rider's heats/races, averaged per year and class.  Higher is better, where positive 2 would mean 2 Standard Deviations above average, or -1 would be 1 Standard Deviation below average.
Lap Times True Z-Score by Year
Same as Z-Score by Year, but uses the Z-Score calculated on laps finished successfully by the rider and omits laps where the rider had an especially long lap before exiting the race.


Links to latest Blog entries
MX Outdoor "This Week" Predictions -- Hangtown 2017 5/20/2017

2017 Pre-Season MX Outdoor Nationals Predictions 5/19/2017

2017 Supercross Week 17 -- By-The-Numbers Recap: Las Vegas [Charts Only] 5/7/2017

Supercross "This Week" Predictions -- Las Vegas 2017 5/5/2017

Supercross 2017 Predictions -- Update After Week 16 5/5/2017

2017 Supercross Week 16 -- By-The-Numbers Recap: New Jersey [Charts Only] 5/1/2017

Supercross "This Week" Predictions -- New Jersey 2017 4/28/2017

Supercross 2017 Predictions -- Update After Week 15 4/27/2017

2017 Supercross Week 15 -- By-The-Numbers Recap: Salt Lake City [Charts Only] 4/25/2017

Supercross "This Week" Predictions -- Salt Lake City 2017 4/21/2017

Supercross 2017 Predictions -- Update After Week 14 4/21/2017

2017 Supercross Week 14 -- By-The-Numbers Recap: Seattle [Charts Only] 4/18/2017

2017 Supercross Week 13 -- By-The-Numbers Recap: St. Louis [Charts Only] 4/18/2017

2017 Supercross Week 12 -- By-The-Numbers Recap: Detroit [Charts Only] 4/18/2017

2017 Supercross Week 11 -- By-The-Numbers Recap: Indianapolis [Charts Only] 3/18/2017

Supercross "This Week" Predictions -- Indianapolis 2017 3/17/2017

Supercross 2017 Predictions -- Update After Week 10 3/16/2017

Supercross 2017: Daytona -- Predictions Review 3/15/2017

2017 Supercross Week 10 -- By-The-Numbers Recap: Daytona 3/11/2017

Supercross "This Week" Predictions -- Daytona 2017 3/9/2017

Supercross 2017 Predictions -- Update After Week 9 3/8/2017

Supercross 2017: Toronto -- Predictions Review 3/7/2017

2017 Supercross Week 9 -- By-The-Numbers Recap: Toronto 3/5/2017

Supercross "This Week" Predictions -- Toronto 2017 3/3/2017

Supercross 2017 Predictions -- Update After Week 8 3/2/2017

Supercross 2017: Atlanta -- Predictions Review 3/2/2017

2017 Supercross Week 8 -- By-The-Numbers Recap: Atlanta 2/25/2017

Supercross "This Week" Predictions -- Atlanta 2017 2/24/2017

Supercross 2017 Predictions -- Update After Week 7 2/23/2017

Supercross 2017: Minneapolis -- Predictions Review 2/22/2017


2017 Supercross Week 7 -- By-The-Numbers Recap: Minneapolis 2/19/2017

Supercross "This Week" Predictions -- Minneapolis 2017 2/17/2017

Supercross 2017 Predictions -- Update After Week 6 2/16/2017

Supercross 2017: Arlington -- Predictions Review 2/13/2017

2017 Supercross Week 6 -- By-The-Numbers Recap: Arlington 2/11/2017

Supercross "This Week" Predictions -- Arlington 2017 2/9/2017

Supercross 2017 Predictions -- Update After Week 5 2/8/2017

Supercross 2017: Oakland -- Predictions Review 2/7/2017

2017 Supercross Week 5 -- By-The-Numbers Recap: Oakland 2/4/2017

Supercross "This Week" Predictions -- Oakland 2017 2/2/2017

Supercross 2017 Predictions -- Update After Week 4 2/1/2017

Supercross 2017: Phoenix -- Predictions Review 1/30/2017

2017 Supercross Week 4 -- By-The-Numbers Recap: Phoenix 1/29/2017

Supercross "This Week" Predictions -- Phoenix 2017 1/26/2017

Supercross 2017 Predictions -- Update After Week 3 1/24/2017

Supercross 2017: Anaheim 2 -- Predictions Review 1/23/2017

2017 Supercross Week 3 -- By-The-Numbers Recap: Anaheim 2 1/22/2017

Supercross "This Week" Predictions -- Anaheim 2 2017 1/19/2017

Supercross 2017 Predictions -- Update After Week 2 1/18/2017

Supercross 2017: San Diego -- Predictions Review 1/17/2017


2017 Supercross Week 2 -- By-The-Numbers Recap: San Diego

Supercross "This Week" Predictions -- San Diego 2017

Supercross 2017 Predictions -- Update After Week 1



Anaheim 1 2017 -- Predictions Review

2017 Supercross Week 1 -- By-The-Numbers Recap: Anaheim 1

Supercross "This Week" Predictions -- Anaheim 1 2017




Supercross 2017 Predictions

Pro MX Laptimes

Pro SX - Way-Too-Early 2017 Predictions

Pro MX - Way-Too-Early 2017 Predictions

Right or Wrong?: 2016 450MX Pre-Season Predictions

Visually Recapping 2016 Motocross

Ironman Predictions Review

2016 Pro MX Week 12 - By-The-Numbers Recap: Ironman

Pro MX Outdoor - 2016 Ironman Predictions

Pro MX Outdoor - 2016 Full-Season Predictions After Week 11

Budds Creek Predictions Review

2016 Pro MX Week 11 - By-The-Numbers Recap: Budds Creek

Pro MX Outdoor - 2016 Budds Creek Predictions

Pro MX Outdoor - 2016 Full-Season Predictions After Week 10

Unadilla Rookies 2

Unadilla Rookies 1

Unadilla Predictions Review

2016 Pro MX Week 10 - By-The-Numbers Recap: Unadilla

Pro MX Outdoor - 2016 Unadilla Predictions

Pro MX Outdoor - 2016 Full-Season Predictions After Week 9

Washougal Predictions Review

2016 Pro MX Week 9 - By-The-Numbers Recap: Washougal

Pro MX Outdoor - 2016 Washougal Predictions

Pro MX Outdoor - 2016 Full-Season Predictions After Week 8

Spring Creek "This-Week" Predictions Review

2016 Pro MX Week 8 - By-The-Numbers Recap: Spring Creek

Pro MX Outdoor - 2016 Spring Creek Predictions

Pro MX Outdoor - 2016 Full-Season Predictions After Week 7

2016 Pro MX Week 7 - By-The-Numbers Recap: Southwick

Pro MX Outdoor - 2016 Predictions After Week 6

Tool To Project MX 2nd-Half: Halfway To The Finish Line

RedBud "This-Week" Predictions Review

2016 Pro MX Week 6 - By-The-Numbers Recap: RedBud

Pro MX Outdoor - 2016 Predictions After Week 5

Muddy Creek "This-Week" Predictions Review

2016 Pro MX Week 5 - By-The-Numbers Recap: Muddy Creek

Pro MX Outdoor - 2016 Predictions After Week 4

High Point "This-Week" Predictions Review

2016 Pro MX Week 4 - By-The-Numbers Recap: High Point

Pro MX Outdoor - 2016 Predictions After Week 3

Thunder Valley "This-Week" Predictions Review

2016 Pro MX Week 3 - By-The-Numbers Recap: Thunder Valley

Pro MX Outdoor - 2016 Predictions After Week 2

Glen Helen "This-Week" Predictions Review

2016 Pro MX Week 2 - By-The-Numbers Recap: Glen Helen

Pro MX Outdoor - 2016 Predictions After Week 1

Tomac's Mythical 2015 Hangtown

Hangtown "This-Week" Predictions Review

Hangtown extras

2016 Pro MX Week 1 - By-The-Numbers Recap: Hangtown

MX "True Talent" Predictions - Week 1: 2016 Hangtown

Pro MX Outdoor - 2016 Season Predictions

Supercross results predicting upcoming Motocross?

Closing the book on 2016's SX Rookies

Amateur MX 2016 Pre-Season Predictions

Preliminary 450MX Pro 2016 Pre-Season Predictions

Right or Wrong?: 2016 450SX Pre-Season Predictions

Visually Recapping 2016 Supercross

Short Track: Las Vegas "This-Week" Predictions Review

2016 Week 17 - By-The-Numbers Recap: Las Vegas

2016 Supercross Predictions - 450SX Update going into Week 17 at Las Vegas

Most Dominant Win from 2016 450 Supercross?

Short Track: East Rutherford "This-Week" Predictions Review

2016 Week 16 - By-The-Numbers Recap: East Rutherford

2016 Supercross Predictions - 450SX Update going into Week 16 at East Rutherford

Short Track: Foxborough "This-Week" Predictions Review

2016 Week 15 - By-The-Numbers Recap: Foxborough

Short Track: What to expect from Benny Bloss on the 450

2016 Supercross Predictions - 450SX Update going into Week 15 at Foxborough

Short Track: St. Louis "This-Week" Predictions Review

2016 Week 14 - By-The-Numbers Recap: St. Louis

2016 Supercross Predictions - 450SX Update going into Week 14 at St Louis

Indy "This-Week" Predictions Review

Follow Up: Lap Times From Indianapolis 450SX

2016 Week 13 - By-The-Numbers Recap: Indy

2016 Supercross Predictions - 450SX Update going into Week 13 at Indy

Short Track: Santa Clara "This-Week" Predictions Review

2016 Week 12 - By-The-Numbers Recap: Santa Clara

2016 Supercross Predictions - 450SX Update going into Week 12 at Santa Clara

Short Track: Detroit "This-Week" Predictions Review

2016 Week 11 - By-The-Numbers Recap: Detroit

Rider Profile: Newcomers to Supercross in 2016

2016 Supercross Predictions - 450SX Update going into Week 11 at Detroit

Toronto "This-Week" Predictions Review

Short Track: Deepest Supercross Field -- is it 2016?

Short Track: Update On Passing Index

2016 Week 10 - By-The-Numbers Recap: Toronto

2016 Supercross Predictions - 450SX Update going into Week 10 at Toronto

Short Track: Daytona "This-Week" Predictions Review

Effects of Stadiums for Supercross Riders

2016 Week 9 - By-The-Numbers Recap: Daytona

Starting Spot vs Finishing Position

Rider Profile: Trey Canard -- What's his ceiling?

How Much Slowing? -- Follow Up #2

Rider Profile: Eli Tomac -- Can he rebound again?

James Stewart and the rest of 2016 Supercross season

Rider Profile: Jason Anderson – Nature-Vs-Nurture?

Visually recapping the 2015 Pro MX season

2016 Supercross Predictions - Top 20 in 450SX

More...

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